Wisconsin could’ve decided 2016

Since the Reagan era if not before, the GOP has two functions: reducing taxes on the rich and preventing minorities from voting. If Priorities USA’s report is to be believed, voter suppression worked in Wisconsin:

According to federal court records, 300,000 registered voters, nine percent of the electorate, lacked strict forms of voter-ID in Wisconsin. A new study by Priorities USA, shared exclusively with The Nation, shows that strict voter-ID laws, in Wisconsin and other states, led to a significant reduction in voter turnout in 2016, with a disproportionate impact on African-American and Democratic-leaning voters. Wisconsin’s voter-ID law reduced turnout by 200,000 votes, according to the new analysis. Donald Trump won the state by only 22,748 votes.

Ari Berman, whose Give Us the Ballot remains one of the essential political histories of the last ten years, cautions readers against taking the report, not subjected to peer review, as gospel. But the numbers startle. From the report:

The lost voters skewed more African-American and more Democrat. For example, Wisconsin’s 2016 electorate was 6.1% more Republican, and 5.7% less Democrat, than the group of ‘lost voters’. Furthermore, the WI electorate was 3.7% more White and 3.8% less African American than the group of ‘lost voters.’ This analysis suggests that the 200,000 lost voters would have both been more racially diverse and have voted more Democratic.

I was going to post this news but the Beltway has a way of squeezing my corset tighter…

Look. Richard Nixon might’ve won in 1960 had the ballot boxes in Cook County revealed that Chicago had lined up behind him, but I know he lost the election because the black vote swung to John F. Kennedy, whereupon it remained with the Democratic Party until the present day. Why? He didn’t call Coretta Scott King after Alabama, having decided it had had enough of her husband, jailed him. Eisenhower had easily won the black vote. On such pivots is destiny decided. Democrats are still reckoning with ALEC.

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